NAP RECORD: 4-4.

OVERALL RECORD: 72-61-1.

TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS: +37.30 points.

WEEK 8 RECORD: 11-7.

WEEK 8 PROFIT/LOSS: +49.35 points.

Week 9 TNF – Philadelphia Eagles @ Houston Texans

• NRG Stadium
• Weather: Indoor Stadium
• Spread:
• Eagles -14.
• O/U 44.5 points.

Team Stats:

Eagles:

2022 Record: 7-0 (3-0 away).

Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 395.4 (3rd) // Passing – 245.9 (10th) // Rushing – 149.6 (6th).

Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 298.1 (4th) // Passing – 183.4 (4th) // Rushing – 114.7 (15th).

Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 28.0 (3rd) // PPG Allowed – 16.9 (4th).

Turnover Differential: +14 (1st).

Injury Report (Out): N/A.

Injury Report (Questionable): N/A.

Texans:

2022 Record: 1-5-1 (0-2-1 home).

Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 288.7 (31st) // Passing – 196.3 (25th) // Rushing – 92.4 (26th).

Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 403.6 (30th) // Passing – (17th) // Rushing – 186.0 (32nd).

Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 16.6 (29th) // PPG Allowed – 22.0 (17th).

Turnover Differential: +3 (7th).

Injury Report (Out): Jonathan Greenard – DE.

Injury Report (Questionable): Brandin Cooks – WR, Nico Collins – WR, Maliek Collins – DT, Desmond King – CB, Christian Harris – LB.

General Stats:

Eagles are 5-2 against the spread.

Texans are 3-3-1 against the spread.

Game Preview:

Oh Lord. This one could get messy. The Eagles are flying at the moment and the Texans are very much in sucking major ass mode. The Texans lost 17-10 to Derrick Henry on Sunday night, as the King put up 219 yards rushing and 2 TDs. That makes it four straight games of over 200 yards rushing against Houston. I mean, how bleak is that for us Texans fans. You know what he’s going to do and you still can’t stop it. Utterly dominant. And he had to be, as Malik Wills got his first start for Tennessee, completing SIX passes, while logging one INT. His QBR was 4.4… That makes two games in row for Houston that the opposing team’s RB has stolen their lunch money and given them a wedgie.

Unfortunately, it doesn’t get much better this week as they now face an Eagles team that is sixth in the league in terms of rushing. The Eagles are a powerful running team but showed on Sunday night that they can get the job done through the air too. AJ Brown put up a monster stat line of 156 yards, three TDs, on only six receptions. Hurts also tossed a TD to Zack Pascal, to make it four total on the night. The Texans have been decent against the pass, but Philly have too many ways they can break you down. Brown, Smith and Goedart through the air, Sanders and Scott on the ground, not to mention Jalen Hurts’ dual threat abilities.

The spread, however, is a big one and for the Eagles to cover it, they’ll have to be very good and consistent for the entirety of the game. They could be up twenty with a minute to go and concede a soft enough TD to miss the cover. They have won by more than 14 points three times this season. Washington by 16, Minnesota by 17 and the Steelers by 22. Washington was the only away game. The Texans have only lost to one team by more than 14 points, the Raiders by 18. Not a single TNF game has been decided by more than 14 points as well. Overall, this season, the underdog has been performing better and the plus handicappers have been covering their spread.

Verdict and Bets:

Looking at the stats and past performances of both teams and TNF games, you wouldn’t be ridiculed for thinking this game may come down to less that the current spread. But I don’t think that’s the case here, once the Eagles don’t get complacent. The Eagles are like the Bills, pure dominance on both sides of the ball and their true strength, the run game, exposes Houston’s core weakness, their run defence. This could be a 35-10 sort of game, which I hate to admit as a Texans fan.

• Eagles -14: 1 point @10/11
• Miles Sanders anytime and over 79.5 yards rushing, double: 0.5 point @ 1.94/1