Week 7 TNF Preview

by | Oct 20, 2022 | NFL

NAP RECORD: 2-4.

OVERALL RECORD: 49-48-1.

TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS: -19.51 points.

WEEK 6 RECORD: 9-9.

WEEK 6 PROFIT/LOSS: -1.55 points.

 

Week 7 TNF – New Orleans Saints @ Arizona Cardinals

  • State Farm Stadium.
  • Weather: Indoor Stadium.
  • Spread: Cardinals -2.5.
  • O/U: 44.5 points.

 

Team Stats:

Saints:

2022 Record: 2-4 (1-1 away).

Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 382.3 (6th) // Passing – 230.8 (15th) // Rushing – 151.5 (7th).

Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 342.8 (17th) // Passing – 222.0 (16th) // Rushing – 120.8 (20th).

Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 23.5 (12th) // PPG Allowed – 26.3 (29th).

Turnover Differential: -7 (32nd).

Injury Report (Out): Adam Trautman – TE, Marshon Lattimore – CB, Andrus Peat – G, Jarvis Landry – WR, Michael Thomas – WR, Chris Olave – WR, Trevor Penning – OT.

Injury Report (Questionable): Paulson Adebo – CB, Payton Turner – DE.

 

Cardinals:

2022 Record: 2-4 (0-3 home).

Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 346.0 (16th) // Passing – 226.7 (16th) // Rushing – 119.3 (15th).

Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – (12th) // Passing – 233.5 (20th) // Rushing – 103.8 (7th).

Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – (22nd) // PPG Allowed – 23.7 (22nd).

Turnover Differential: +2 (10th).

Injury Report (Out): Marquise Brown – WR, Darrell Williams – RB, Dennis Gardeck – LB, Rodney Hudson – C, Justin Pugh – G.

Injury Report (Questionable): Jalen Thompson – S, Matt Prater – K, James Conner – RB, Trayvon Mullen – CB.

 

General Stats:

New Orleans are 2-4 against the spread.

Arizona are 3-3 against the spread.

 

Game Preview:

Cardinals Run D

The Cardinals run D has definitely been one of their bright sparks in 2022. Currently ranking 7th in rushing yards allowed per game, they have held their own against teams built on the run. Philly are 6-0, bulldozing teams in their path, but barely got past Arizona in State Farm Stadium. Miles Sanders was held to 58 yards rushing on 15 attempts. Ken Walker did put up 97 yards last week, but Seattle really committed to the run, allowing Walker to rush 21 times. Given all the wide receiver injuries for New Orleans, they will likely lean on Alvin Kamara to get the offence ticking over but may face some strong opposition in the form of Arizona’s front seven.

Turnovers

The Cardinals are top ten in turnover differential and the Saints are dead last. Bit of mismatch if you ask me. The Saints have given the ball away 13 times this year and only taken the ball away from their opponents six times. The Cardinals have been much more solid, giving the ball away five times and taking it back seven times. In the short week, where bodies and minds are going to be a little more tired, the turnover battle may swing the way of the Cardinals and point them in the direction of a badly needed win.

Injuries (see above)

Both teams are in a badddddd way. Check out the injury reports above to see the extent.

D-Hop Back

The Cardinals are really struggling on offence, but at least they are getting D-Hop back for tonight’s game. Hopkins is finally returning from a six-game suspension for violating the leagues PED policy and will look to ignite a passing offence that is currently ranked middle of the pack in terms of yards per game. Arizona have only scored 11 total touchdowns and haven’t scored more than 17 points since week two. They are also on an eight-game losing streak at home, which is far from ideal when you have one of the highest paid QBs in the league, under centre. Hopkins was up and down last year but was targeted on a consistent basis, as Murray threw to him at least six times in 60% of the games he played. Given their struggles on offence and this being D-Hops first game of the season, he could be in for a big target share. And because he is coming back from suspension rather than injury, there should be no worries for a limited snap count tonight.

 

Verdict and Bets:

Thursdays are the new Fridays, so lets have a little fun. 0.5 point on the 11.5/1 Bet Builder below. The Cardinals home record is a bit of a worry and the fact that the new Call of Duty came out this week is even more worrisome. Some dude on the internet studied Kyler Murray’s stats the week after a new Call of Duty came out and found that his performances took a hit. Wild. But any who, I think they’ll break the cycle here against a struggling Saints team.

  • Cardinals ML, 20/29.
  • D-Hop over 5.5 receptions, 21/20.
  • Murray over 33.5 rushing (because his o-line is banged up and he’ll be scrambling for his life), 4/5.

 

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