Sunday, Week 12. Here we go. A bounce back of all bounce backs is coming. The NAP is going to cruise home and I’m feeling at 10-2 record. Positive energy. Manifestation. Right….?

NAP: 6-9

CURRENT RECORD: 48-67 (The Turkey wasn’t the only thing stuffed on Thursday, am I right?

Tennessee Titans @ New England Patriots: Patriots -6.5 (NAP)

Titans:

• Current Record: 8-3 (4-1 away).
• Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 354.1 (15th) // Passing – 225.1 (21st) // Rushing – 129.0 (5th).
• Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 350.5 (14th) // Passing – 253.3 (23rd) // Rushing – 97.2 (5th)
• Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 26.5 (10th) // PPG Allowed – 23.1 (20th).
• Turnover Differential: -3 (22nd).
• Injury Report (Out): AJ Brown – WR, Rashaan Evans – LB, Jeremy McNichols – RB, Nate Davis – G, David Long Jr. – LB. Derrick Henry obvs.
• Ryan Tannehill leads the league in INTs with 12.
• The Titans had a 6-2 record with Derrick Henry. 2-1 since he got injured.

Patriots:

• Current Record: 7-4 (2-4 home).
• Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 351.8 (17th) // Passing – 235.5 (16th) // Rushing – 116.3 (13th).
• Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 313.2 (3rd) // Passing – 211.5 (6th) // Rushing – 101.7 (9th).
• Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 27.3 (6th) // PPG Allowed – 16.1 (1st).
• Turnover Differential: +6 (6th).
• Injury Report (Out): No players currently out, but lots questionable. Notables: Damien Harris, Hunter Henry, Trent Brown, Christian Barmore.
• Patriots are on a five-game winning streak.
• Patriots have +123 points differential – highest in the league.

The Titans have been clinging on for dear life recently and their time will be up on Sunday in Foxborough. Ryan Tannehill is currently leading the leagues in INTs and Big Ole Billy’s defence is sure to feast on the QB’s struggles. To go along with Tannehill’s struggles, Tennessee is missing their key playmakers in AJ Brown and Derrick Henry. Even back-up running back, Jeremy McNichols is out for Sunday’s game. It is very hard to see Tennessee putting up any serious numbers, especially against the number one defence in the league, in terms of points.

For the Patriots, they should continue doing their thing. Mac Jones is doing what he needs to do. He is only the fourth rookie in history to win five straight games and have a 100+ passer rating, in that span. As mentioned, the Patriots defence should feast this coming Sunday and overall, the team should continue their strong turnover differential. This will be a scrappy game, but I like the Patriots to win by 7-10 points.

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens: Ravens -3

Browns:

• Current Record: 6-5 (2-3 away).
• Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 362.5 (12th) // Passing – 205.6 (25th) // Rushing – 156.8 (1st).
• Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 316.7 (4th) // Passing – 215.4 (8th) // Rushing – 101.4 (8th).
• Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 22.2 (19th) // PPG Allowed – 22.8 (17th)
• Turnover Differential: -1 (18th).
• Injury Report (Out): Jack Conklin – OT, Anthony Schwartz – WR, Kareem Hunt – RB.
• Baker has had a passer rating below 60 in his last two games.
• Browns have scored 14 points or less in four of Baker’s last five starts.

Ravens:

• Current Record: 7-3 (4-1 home).
• Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 402.6 (3rd) // Passing – 251.6 (11th) // Rushing – 151.0 (3rd).
• Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 369.7 (25th) // Passing – 281.1 (31st) // Rushing – 88.6 (2nd)
• Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 24.7 (14th) // PPG Allowed – 23.0 (18th)
• Turnover Differential: -5 (28th).
• Injury Report (Out): Currently, no one really of note out. Few questionables to keep an eye on. Marquise Brown – WR, Calais Campbell – DE.
• Ravens have won 21 of their last 26 games at home in November.
• Jackson is 7-2 in his career after losing his last start.

Both teams are struggling a little at the moment. They both have lost 2 out of their last four and their most recent win has been by three points over poor opposition. (Browns over Lions and Ravens over Bears). Both QBs have also been dealing with some form of injury or illness. Although Lamar came out during the week and said he is feeling 120%.

This will be a close game, but I am siding with the home team. The Ravens are slightly fresher as well and Action Jackson always loves proving himself following a loss. (Jackson was out for the win last week against Chicago). This looks like a ground and pound game and should shape up for an interesting contest.

Minnesota Vikings @ San Francisco 49ers: Over 49

Vikings:

• Current Record: 5-5 (2-3 away).
• Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 387.0 (7th) // Passing – 267.8 (8th) // Rushing – 119.2 (11th).
• Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 378.9 (28th) // Passing – 2451.9 (21st) // Rushing – 127.0 (28th).
• Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 25.5 (13th) // PPG Allowed – 24.2 (22nd).
• Turnover Differential: +6 (5th)
• Injury Report (Out): Dalvin Tomlinson – DT, Everson Griffen – DE, Danielle Hunter – DE.

49ers:

• Current Record: 5-5 (1-4 home).
• Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 359.3 (13th) // Passing – 236.1 (15th) // Rushing – 123.2 (8th).
• Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – (6th) // Passing – 202.4 (3rd) // Rushing – 115.9 (20th).
• Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 24.6 (15th) // PPG Allowed – 22.2 (9th).
• Turnover Differential: -5 (27th)
• Injury Report (Out): JaMycal Hasty – RB, Maurice Hirst – DT, Dee Ford – DE, Dre Greenlaw – LB, Javon Kinlaw.

This game should be a cracker. I haven’t a clue which way this is going to go, but it should be exciting. Both teams are averaging +30 points over their last two games and come into the contest with lots of confidence. Two teams hot on offence, both on 5-5 with play-off aspirations. This is the type of match that gives you the tingles downstairs.

Both teams have defensive injury woes, which will only add to the likelihood of the over coming in. On their day, either of these teams could beat anyone in the league, but I can’t tell you who wins on Sunday. The 49ers are on a serious cooler for their home games, losing four from five. Their one win came against the Rams, two weeks ago. Last week, the Vikings beat the Packers 34-31, even with Rodgers throwing 4 TDs. They also travelled out to LA to beat the Chargers 27-20. If this was a flat match, I would side with the 49ers. But the +3 for the Vikings is throwing me. I’m going with the over out of necessity, not desire. Spoken like any successful punter…

Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Football Team: Seahawks +1.5

Seahawks:

• Current Record: 3-7 (2-3 away).
• Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 298.6 (30th) // Passing – 200.2 (27th) // Rushing – 98.4 (23rd).
• Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 401.8 (31st) // Passing – 279.6 (30th) // Rushing – 122.2 (24th).
• Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 19.4 (24th) // PPG Allowed – 20.9 (7th).
• Turnover Differential: +3 (12th).
• Injury Report (Out): Tre Brown – CB, Chris Carson – RB. Travis Homer & Rashaad Penny likely to miss the game as well.

Football Team:

• Current Record: 4-6 (2-3 home).
• Offence (Yards Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 347.8 (19th) // Passing – 224.9 (22nd) // Rushing – 122.9 (10th).
• Defence (Yards Allowed Per Game, ESPN): Overall – 368.5 (23rd) // Passing – 270.0 (28th) // Rushing – 98.5 (7th)
• Points Per Game Stats, ESPN: PPG Scored – 21.2 (21st) // PPG Allowed – 26.7 (28th)
• Turnover differential: -4 (25th).
• Injury Report (Out): Chase Young – DE, Montez Sweat – DE, Ricky Seals-Jones – TE (likely to miss game).

Wilson has been truly abysmal since his return from the finger injury, passing for zero TDs for the first time since weeks 6-8, 2016. His has led the Seahawks offence to 13 points total over that same two game stretch, which included a shutout by Green Bay. He also has the lowest third down completion % of any QB this season. This would mean I’m leaning towards the Football Team, right? Wrong. I’m not having Taylor Heinicke beating Russell Wilson during prime-time football. I’m just not. Heinicke has played well, but loose in 2021. When the Football Team have put up 25+ points this season, they are 4-0, but when they haven’t, they are 0-6. Despite Seattle’s troubles, they are only allowing 20.9 points per game. Good enough for 7th place on the PPG allowed list. Seattle’s defence will step up and Russell Wilson will take advantage of a decimated Washington pass rush. LET RUSS COOK.

All Sunday/Monday Picks:

Confident:

Atlanta Falcons @ Jacksonville Jaguars: Under 45.5

New York Jets @ Houston Texans: Texans -2.5

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants: Eagles -3.5

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals: Bengals -3.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Indianapolis Colts: Colts +3

Tennessee Titans @ New England Patriots: Patriots -6.5

LA Chargers @ Denver Broncos: Under 47.5

LA Rams @ Green Bay Packers: Over 47

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens: Ravens -3

Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Football Team: Seahawks +1.5

Meh:

Minnesota Vikings @ San Francisco 49ers: Over 49

Carolina Panthers @ Miami Dolphins: Dolphins +2

Not Confident:

N/A.

€5 to €500 Challenge:

Stay safe out there x

J.