WEEK 9 TNF RECORD: 0-1.

WEEK 9 TNF PROFIT/LOSS: -1 point.

NAP RECORD: 3-4.

2023 OVERALL RECORD: 30-47.

2023 TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS: -14.52 points.

2022 TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS: +21.32 points.

COWBOYS @ EAGLES: Cowboys +4.5 and over 46.5, 1.5 points @ 2.1/1. (NAP)

Important points to note (Cowboys):

• 5-2 and 2-2 away from home.
• Have won three of their last five, with wins coming against the Rams, Chargers and Patriots, and losses coming against the 49ers and Cardinals.
• 15^th in total offence, 16^th in passing, 11^th in rushing and 2^nd in points scored.
• 3^rd in total yards allowed, 4^th in passing, 17^th in rushing and 4^th in points allowed.
• 4^th in turnovers with a +6 differential.
• In Dak’s last two games he has thrown for 576 yards and 5 TDs, had 1 rush TD and only 1 pick in his last two games.
• OT, Tyron Smith, is questionable.
• Cowboys have won four of the last five against the Eagles, but lost that one game at Lincoln Field, in last year’s match-up. Cooper Rush was the QB for the Cowboys…
• +54 points have been scored in those same four games.

Important points to note (Eagles):

• 7-1 and 3-0 at home.
• Their one loss came away from home at the Jets.
• 3^rd in total offence, 7^th in passing, 7^th in rushing and 3^rd in points scored.
• 8^th in total defence, 26^th in passing, 1^st in rushing and 19^th in points allowed.
• 24^th in turnovers with -3.
• Missing CB, Bradley Roby.

Final comment:

This is generally a classic showdown, with at least 54 points being scored in four of their last five. +60 points has been scored in three of those games and 70 has been eclipsed twice. The one game that came in under 50 was last years win for the Eagles, which was at home. Cooper Rush was the QB for the Cowboys in that game, so I’m willing to give them a pass for their 17-point performance. The Cowboys clearly play the Eagles really well and with the Eagles defence being worse than last year, I like both teams to put up some points and for the Cowboys to cover +4.5.

DOLPHINS @ CHIEFS (GERMANY): Dolphins +1.5, 0.5 point @ 10/11.

No need to do the stats on these teams, everyone knows what they are about. 1 and 2 in offence, with the Dolphins struggling a little bit more that the Chiefs on the other side of the ball. The Dolphins do have Jalen Ramsey back now though, following his first run out in week 8, where he picked off Mac Jones. They might also have Xavien Howard back to fill their other corner spot. I’m leaning with the Dolphins on this one, with the pros being their insane offence and the fact that they travelled to Germany on Monday, allowing them time to adjust. The negatives being that their two losses have come against good teams, aka the Bills and Eagles. Regardless of the result, hoping for a good game, where both teams have fun…

RAMS @ PACKERS: Rams +3.5, 0.5 point @ 10/11.

Important points to note (Rams):

• 3-5 and 2-2 away from home.
• On a two-game losing streak, with recent losses coming to the Cowboys and Steelers.
• Rams Offense: Overall (9), Rush (17), Pass (8), Scoring (14-T)
• Rams Defense: Overall (17), Rush (20), Pass (13), Scoring (21)
• Turnover Differential: -2;
• Likely missing Matt Stafford, with Brett Rypien taking his place. Also missing Ernest Jones, with a few others on the questionable list.

Important points to note (Packers):

• 2-5 and 1-2 at home.
• On a four-game losing streak, which included a 17-13 loss to the Raiders.
• Packers Offense: Overall (25), Rush (25), Pass (21), Scoring (21)
• Packers Defense: Overall (21), Rush (26), Pass (11), Scoring (20)
• Turnover Differential: -2

Final comment:

Not the most exciting game on the schedule this week, but I think the Rams +3.5 are a bit of value. They are travelling west for a 1pm game, as well as missing Stafford, but the Packers are currently playing like one of the worst teams in the league. Their offence is rough, and their defence hasn’t been up to scratch either. In Sean McVay’s offence, Brett Rypien can be more than capable, and with Green Bay leaking yards on the ground as well, LA should hang around and at least keep it within the 3.5 spread.

BUCS @ TEXANS: Texans -2.5, 0.5 point @ 10/11.

The Bucs are one of the worst defensive teams in the league in terms of passing. Houston’s strength lies through their passing offence. They should have won last week’s game against the Panthers, so will come into this game energised and looking for a bounce back. The one worry is that they are starting their fourth centre of the season, which might be tricky for Stroud. Fortunately, the rookie has been A1 so far this season and will hopefully take this in his stride.

COMMANDERS @ PATRIOTS: Over 40.5 points, 0.5 point @ 10/11.

The Commanders are well able to put up points, perfectly highlighted by their 31 points against the Eagles, last week. Their also just traded away their two best pass rushers, so Mac Jones should have free(er) rein against a passing defence that is ranked 29^th. Obviously, Foxborough is a tricky place to go, but it’s not what it once was.

SEAHAWKS @ RAVENS: Ravens ML and under 43.5, 0.25 point @ 1.75/1.

This is one of the matchups of the week, but it’s tough one to call. This bet is just for a bit of interest in what is the best 1pm kick-off of the week. The Ravens’ defence is elite and should shut down the Seahawks, who will be playing at 10am their usual time. The Seahawks have a fairly stout defence themselves, currently ranking 11^th. The one area where Seattle might struggle is stopping Lamar rushing, as they are currently one of the worst teams in the league at stopping QBs on the ground.

COWBOYS @ EAGLES: Cowboys +4.5 and over 46.5, 1.5 points @ 2.1/1.

Important points to note (Cowboys):

• 5-2 and 2-2 away from home.
• Have won three of their last five, with wins coming against the Rams, Chargers and Patriots, and losses coming against the 49ers and Cardinals.
• 15^th in total offence, 16^th in passing, 11^th in rushing and 2^nd in points scored.
• 3^rd in total yards allowed, 4^th in passing, 17^th in rushing and 4^th in points allowed.
• 4^th in turnovers with a +6 differential.
• In Dak’s last two games he has thrown for 576 yards and 5 TDs, had 1 rush TD and only 1 pick in his last two games.
• OT, Tyron Smith, is questionable.
• Cowboys have won four of the last five against the Eagles, but lost that one game at Lincoln Field, in last year’s match-up. Cooper Rush was the QB for the Cowboys…
• +54 points have been scored in those same four games.

Important points to note (Eagles):

• 7-1 and 3-0 at home.
• Their one loss came away from home at the Jets.
• 3^rd in total offence, 7^th in passing, 7^th in rushing and 3^rd in points scored.
• 8^th in total defence, 26^th in passing, 1^st in rushing and 19^th in points allowed.
• 24^th in turnovers with -3.
• Missing CB, Bradley Roby.

Final comment:

This is generally a classic showdown, with at least 54 points being scored in four of their last five. +60 points has been scored in three of those games and 70 has been eclipsed twice. The one game that came in under 50 was last years win for the Eagles, which was at home. Cooper Rush was the QB for the Cowboys in that game, so I’m willing to give them a pass for their 17-point performance. The Cowboys clearly play the Eagles really well and with the Eagles defence being worse than last year, I like both teams to put up some points and for the Cowboys to cover +4.5.

Player Prop, 1 point @ 8.23/1.