NFL 2023: Week 13 Sunday Preview (Player Props)

by | Dec 3, 2023 | NFL

WEEK 13 TNF RECORD: 1-1.

WEEK 13 TNF PROFIT/LOSS: -0.54 points.

 

NAP RECORD: 3-7.

2023 OVERALL RECORD: 40-65.

2023 TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS: -20.49 points.

 

2022 TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS: +21.32 points.

 

 

DOLPHINS @ COMMANDERS:

 

Tyreek Hill Props:

  • Under 105.5 yards receiving, 1 point @ 20/23
  • Anytime scorer, 1 point @ 8/13

 

Comments:

  • Miami is the number one passing team in the league, logging 285 yards on average per game.
  • They are second in points scored, with 30.8 ppg on average.
  • Washington are currently 29th in total yards allowed per game and 30th in passing yards allowed.
  • Washington are allowing the most points per game with 29.2, on average.
  • Tyreek has at least 10 targets in his last six games. Over those six games, he has logged 102, 146, 62, 112, 88 and 163 yards receiving. However, the three lowest totals within that group of six games have all been away games.
  • He has scored a TD in 9 of his 11 games.

Hill has been electric this year, but Miami have not been the same on the road. I think he’ll still get in the end zone but won’t put up at least 105 yards. Kendall Fuller should be marking him, and he’s done relatively well this year against most #1 receivers, except AJ Brown and DK.

 

 

Jaylen Waddle Prop (NAP):

  • Over 64.5 receiving, 1.5 points @ 10/11.

Comments:

  • See general team comments above.
  • Waddle is fresh off of his highest total catches of the season (8) and second highest receiving yards total (114).
  • While Hill will be marked by Kendall Fuller, not much will be getting in the way of Waddle in this matchup.
  • He has been nursing some injuries this season, but judging by the Jets game last week, seems to be back to full health.

 

 

BRONCOS @ TEXANS:

 

Devin Singletary Prop:

  • Over 10.5 yards receiving, 1 point @ 10/11.

Comments:

  • Broncos have been one of the worst teams for conceding receiving yards to running backs.
  • #32 ranked team in fantasy against running backs.
  • Has eclipsed at least 11 yards receiving in three of his last five, including 54 yards last week against the Jags.

 

LIONS @ SAINTS:

Alvin Kamara Prop (if you can find, i can’t):

  • Over receiving yards (whatever it is), 1.5 points @ 10/11

Comments:

  • Detroit are a top five rushing defence, so you would expect Kamara’s value to be seen more through the passing game.
  • Detroit’s passing defence is bottom half.
  • Kamara has at least 33 yards receiving in his of his last six games, with a high of 91 and an average of 51.3.
  • Detroit has allowed 38 yards receiving to AJ Dillon and 48 yards to Austin Ekeler in recent games.

 

PANTHERS @ BUCS:

Bryce Young Prop:

  • Over 192.5 yards passing, 0.75 point @ 10/11.

Comments:

  • The firing of a head coach always gives a team a massive bump.
  • Mike Greene, Jamel Dean and Devin White are all out for Tampa Bay’s defence.
  • Tampa are the 29th ranked defence against opposing QBs in fantasy.
  • Tampa are currently the 31st ranked defence in terms of yards allowed.
  • Bryce Young has eclipsed 192.5 yards passing in half of his games this season.

 

OTHERS:

  • CMC over 31.5 yards receiving, 0.5 point @ 20/23.
  • Kyren Williams anytime, 0.5 point @ 10/11.

 

ACCA – 1 point @ 10.5/1

  • Jaylen Waddle, over 64.5 receiving
  • Devin Singletary, over 10.5 yards receiving
  • CMC over 31.5 yards receiving
  • Kyren Williams anytime

0 Comments