NAP RECORD: 4-4.

OVERALL RECORD: 73-62-1.

TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS: +37.27 points.

WEEK 9 TNF RECORD: 1-1.

WEEK 9 TNF PROFIT/LOSS: -0.03 points.

****DISCLAIMER: I got to spend about 50% of my usual time on this article, compared to a normal week. Have to be open and honest with the homies when it comes to anything betting wise, so take these selections with an extra pinch of salt. Normal service will resume next week but hopefully we can still get a couple of wins under our belt in the meantime.

Week 9 Bets:

Indianapolis Colts @ NE Patriots: Patriots -4.5 (NAP), 1 point @ 10/11

The Patriots are 13-1 at home in the month of November, since 2013. Belichick comes alive in the month of November and given the fact he is facing a QB in his second start, I love the Patriots to cover here. The Colts are 30^th in terms of points scored and are now looking the way of young Sam Ehlinger to turn the tide on what has been a very disappointing season so far. Ehlinger threw for 201 yards last week against the Commanders but faces a much stiffer test in Gillette Stadium this week. They are really struggling to move the ball and with Jonathan Taylor out and Nyheim Hines traded to the Bills, I think it is too much to hope for Indianapolis to cover the spread here.

Miami Dolphins @ Chicago Bears: Dolphins -4, 1 point @ 10/11

With Tua back, the Dolphins are rolling. I will acknowledge that they have only beaten the Steelers and the Lions in the two-game win streak, but they needed to put up big numbers against a Lions team that looked back to their offensive self in the first half of last week’s matchup. The Dolphins gave up all 27 points in the first half of last week’s game, so you’re hoping that they found some defensively in the second half that will transfer into this game and the remainder of the season. They also added superstar pass rusher, Bradley Chubb, in a trade with Denver during the week. This is a huge addition to a defensive line which badly needs pass rushing support, especially this week, as they face the illusive Justin Fields. Fields has been putting Chicago on his back lately, throwing for two TDs and rushing for another, last week against the Cowboys. He was also instrumental in their win against the Patriots, in MNF of week seven. He rushed for 82 yards that day and logged both a passing and rushing TD. But, unfortunately, for Fields and his Bears’ teammates, the front office have made some interesting moves in the last couple of weeks. Two of their best defensive players, Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith, were traded. They did get Chase Claypool in a trade with the Steelers but trading away your core defensive players before playing against the Cheetah and the Penguin is not what you want to see as a Bears’ player or fan. I think the Bears will move the ball, but Miami’s offence will be too much for them to handle.

LA Chargers @ Atlanta Falcons: Falcons +3, 1 point @ 10/11

I am a sucker for the Falcons this year, but they have been good to me. They lost out on the spread last week by 1.5 points, as PJ Walker launched one of the greatest Hail Mary’s to DJ Moore to drag the teams back to level. The Falcons ended up winning, but only by a field goal in OT, to miss out on the -4 cover. This week they have a lovely matchup with the Chargers, who just got dominated by Gino Smith and Seattle. I’m loving this game for the Falcons because their strength exposes LA’s core weakness, their run D. The number five running offence, facing the number 27^th run defence is not exactly ideal for LA. The Falcons love running the ball and if they stick with it here, they should get the job done. They can get exposed through the air, especially with  AJ Terrell being out, but the Chargers are without Mike Williams, Keenan Allen and Donald Parham. They are also missing a number of defensive players, so I like the home team to beat the travelling team who are on the road for a second week in a row.

Minnesota Vikings @ Washington Commanders: Vikings -2.5, 1 point @ 10/11

The 6-1 Vikings travel to FedEx Field to take on the 4-4 Commanders, who are on a hot three game winning streak. Heinicke came up clutch last week to beat the Sam Ehlinger led Colts, 17-16. The thing about that is the Colts suck. I wouldn’t be writing home either about the wins over the Packers and Bears. The Bears are looking better, but they scored seven points in their matchup with the Commanders. The Vikings on the other hand are beating superior opponents, in the form of the Cardinals and Dolphins. The Cardinals haven’t been great, but with D-Hop back and Kyler Murray running more, they looked a lot better. Minnesota like to keep it close-ish, but I think they take this one. The Minnesota pass rush has been going places this season, so I like them to put enough pressure on Heinicke this week to cool him down. Vikings travel home with a Dub.

Remaining Week 9 Picks:

Buffalo Bills @ NY Jets: N/A.

The Jets D is legit, and this spread is a whopper. Going to stay away from it.

Carolina Panthers @ Cincinnati Bengals: Panthers +7.5

This spread is massive for a team that just lost 32-13 to the Browns. The Bengals got dismantled in week eight and now look to get back on track against a Panthers team undergoing a bit of a resurgence. If the Panthers place kicker could have slotted the extra point after the DJ Moore dying seconds TD, they would be looking for their third win in a row this week. I think the Bengals win this one, but it’s hard to see them winning by a huge amount with Ja’Marr Chase and others out with injury. The Panthers have a really good pass rush, so should have no problem getting to Joe Burrow. The Panthers are also getting Jaycee Horn back, which is huge, as he is a true #1 CB and will put up a good fight against Tee Higgins. Bengals to win but Panthers to cover.

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions: Lions +3.5

The Lions let us down by last week by half a point, but I am going back to the well for this Packers game. The Packers have three double digit losses this season, which is the most in the Aaron Rodgers era, so it’s hard to see why they should be 3.5 favourites, away from home. I know the Lions kind of suck as well, but their offence can get red hot, and they are facing a Packers team on a four-game losing streak. Both teams are giving up monster yards on the ground and both teams run the ball well. This will be a gritty NFC north matchup with two dynamic sets of running backs going at it. Both teams are managing knocks and have not been covering their spreads very well. The Packers are 3-5 ATS and the Lions are 3-4. I think the Lions deserve a little bit more respect. They went toe to toe with Miami last week and I could see them doing the same here.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Jacksonville Jaguars: N/A.

Bin bowl game. Two teams who are in big trouble. Too tough to call but I think Travis Etienne will have another big game.

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals: Seahawks +2

I feel like the bookies are tempting us with the +2 spread here, and I’m a sucker for a good deal. The Seahawks have already beaten the Cardinals this year, taking home a 19-9 dub in Lumen Field, as the Seahawks held the Cardinals to three field goals, in a fairly dominant display. The Cardinals have gone on to lose again since then, losing to Minnesota, last week. The Seahawks are continuing their upward trajectory, with two big wins (Giants & Chargers) since the two teams last met. That makes it two straight games with 14-point wins for Seattle. D-Hop being back will make a big difference for Arizona, but I’m not sure it will be big enough to reclaim the 10-point deficit of the week six defeat.

LA Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Bucs -2.5

Brady and the Bucs stop the rot with this one. Both teams are really struggling, as the Bucs have lost their last three and the Rams have lost three of their last four. Statistically, they are also fairly similar. They are both near the bottom of the points scored list but are fairly decent in the points allowed category. The Rams are sitting at 17^th and the Bucs are sitting at 6^th. The Bucs can be ran on in 2022, but LA have no ground game whatsoever. This game will be a defensive showdown, but I think, at home, the Bucs take it. Barely. It is important to note, that the Rams have won the last two matchups at Raymond James Stadium.

Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs: Titans +12.5 (if Tannehill plays)

A 12.5 point spread against two teams who are both 5-2 is fairly crazy. I get that Mahomes and the Chiefs are pure electricity on form, but the Titans are an insanely well coached team who have a Hall of Fame running back capable of keeping them in any game. The Chiefs will win this, but 12.5 points is too much for me. The only worry is Mahomes goes completely insane and throws for a billion yards. The Titans are susceptible to the pass and if there is one man who can take advantage, it’s Mahomes. I don’t have any real feeling towards this selection, and it is also down to whether or not Tannehill plays. He was limited in practice on Friday and looks like a game time decision. If he’s out, take the Chiefs all day.

Player Prop Bets & Acca:

Half point on each selection and the acca.