NAP RECORD: 9-5.

OVERALL RECORD: 107-125-4.

TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS: +15.49 points.

WEEK 14 RECORD: 5-9.

WEEK 14 PROFIT/LOSS: -4.81 points.

Apologies for missing my first ever article on Thursday night. I was travelling with work and just couldn’t get around to it. Probably for the best, however, as I am on the coldest streak of my life. Back at again this evening, though, as we are treated to a Saturday special in the run up to Xmas.

Saturday Week 15 Bets:

Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings: Vikings -3.5

6pm Kirk Cousins is going to roll in this one. The Vikings look to get back on track after their loss to the Lions in week 14. The Lions are fairly motoring at the moment, so I wouldn’t read too much in that loss, especially with the Detroit doing well at home against the Vikings over the last few years.

Looking ahead to this game, these two teams are the polar opposites. The Colts have one of the worst offences in the league but have shown promise on the defensive side of the ball. The Vikings are horrendous on defence but have a bit of an X-Factor going forward. The Vikings will look to Justin Jefferson tonight, for many reasons, but also knowing that Colts #1 CB, Kenny Moore is out. The Colts have been hovering around the top 10/15 passing defence mark, but with him and Brandon Facyson both out, they may get exposed a little more here.

The Vikings like to keep things close, which is a bit of a worry, but they are at home tonight and have a 6-1 record at home, with an overall record of 10-3. They are the far better team than the 4-8-1 Colts and should get the job done by around a touchdown.

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns: Ravens +3

Even with Lamar out, I think the Ravens get this done. The Ravens’ run D is currently second in terms of rushing yards allowed and seventh in rush defensive DVOA, and with Deshaun Watson and the Cleveland passing game still getting up and running, I think the Ravens D will do enough to stop the main threat of Chubb and Hunt. Going forward has been a bit of a struggle for the Ravens, with Lamar out, but if there is one team who will leave you move the ball, it’s the Browns. They are 27^th in terms of both points allowed and defensive DVOA. They are also 27^th in terms of turnovers, with the Ravens ranking second. Finally, Cleveland will be without LB, Jeremiah Owusu- Koramoah, who would have been critical in stopping the strong Ravens run offence. The Ravens take this one in a closely fought battle. The extra points are an added benefit.

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills: Bills -5.5

Big pity this is the game on at 1:15am, but what can you do. This game is also looking like a snow game, hence the handicap standing at +-7. Should be a bit of a shock for the Dolphins’ players coming up from sunny Miami. There is expected to be a foot of snow, today alone, so it’s not looking good for Miami. Stats show that the Dolphins are the worst performing team in cold weather since 2008. As per Fox Weather, ‘in games with temperatures below 34 degrees (F), the Dolphins have a record of 7-14 with a winning percentage of 33%’. The Bills are the best performing team with a winning percentage of 55%. All player and general game stats are out the window for this one, so shave a couple off the current handicap and take the Bills -5.5. You’ll get it at 4/6, which isn’t bad.