NFL 2022 – Divisional Round Preview

by | Jan 20, 2023 | NFL

NAP RECORD: 11-6.

OVERALL RECORD: 120-142-4.

TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS: +14.46 points.

WCW RECORD: 5-5.

WCW PROFIT/LOSS: -0.71.

 

Divisional Round Weekend Bets:

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs: Chiefs -9, 1 point @ 10/11.

This one has my head in a tizzy. The Chiefs haven’t covered a spread since about 1969 but the Jaguars were getting absolutely smoked last week against the Chargers, before the Chargers pulled a Falcons and let them back into it. If the Chiefs were to get out to a big lead here, they definitely would not let the same happen. The Chargers were up 27-0 last week, with Trevor Lawrence throwing three INTs in the first half, before the Jaguars decided to dig their head out of the ground and get themselves back into it. I think the important detail to look at here is that Lawrence was incredibly sloppy when the pressure was on at the start, before getting hot at the Chargers’ expense. Credit is given to him for turning it around, but I’m not sure he would be able to do the same here, should they go down again. Arrowhead will be rocking…. and Lawrence doesn’t seem to be the same player away from home. It also doesn’t help that the Jaguars are ranked 30th in terms of passing defensive DVOA. As everyone knows, the Chiefs are an offensive passing juggernaut, and with the extra rest week added in and the home (weather) advantage, I think this one might get a little messy. Actually, I really like the Chiefs here…

 

NY Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles: Eagles -7.5, 1 point @ 10/11.

I want the Giants to win as much as the next man, but this looks a step too far for the men in blue. The Giants will shock the world if they win this one, but this is a much stiffer task than the Kirk Cousins led, defensively liability Vikings. Danny Dimes has secured himself the bag this year and his 301 yards 2 TD through the air and 78 yards rushing performance last week was nothing short of spectacular. Saquon bagging two TDs as well had Giants fans salivating and checking the price of tickets to the Super Bowl. But it’s a completely different story this week, as they face their NFC East rivals. The pair obviously met twice this year already, with the Eagles taking home the W in both contests with a combined winning total of 32 points. A dominant 26-point win in week 14 is one of the main reasons I’m leaning towards the Eagles in this one, but the fact that they did that away from home has me a little scared. I’m kind of worried that if the Eagles aren’t comfortably winning by half time, the Philly fans will get on their backs and heap the pressure on. I think both teams will move the ball in this one, but I think when it comes down to it, the experienced Eagles defence will make the difference in the end and secure a big playoff victory for a team that could go all the way. Should be a cracking game and one I am very much looking forward to.

 

Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills: Bengals +5.5, 1 point @ 10/11.

If O-Linemen, Jonah Williams and Alex Cappa were playing in this game, I would be hammering the Bengals +5.5. I’m still going to hammer them, but with a little less confidence. The Bengals got through a poor Baltimore team in the Wild Card by landing a fluky fumble recovery in the dying minutes. Not exactly how you want to be preparing for an away trip to Buffalo, but I’m expecting a lot more from them here. The Ravens know the Bengals well and will always keep it close, but I think there is big scope here for Burrow and Co. to go off, as last week, a third string rookie QB and his boys put up 31 in Buffalo’s backyard. Josh Allen has also been loose with the football lately, throwing two picks last week and three over the two games before that. The Bengals defence is solid as well and if they can manage a turnover or two (ranked sixth in this category in the regular season), they will be well in this one.

This match will have extra emotion around it too, as it is the rematch of their week 17 game, which had Damar Hamlin’s incredibly scary emergency. Will that emotion work in the favour of the Bills or the Bengals? It’s hard to tell. I just think that when you have two teams that can put up massive points against anyone, and you give one of those teams a 5.5-point lead, it’s a little too generous.

 

Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers: 49ers -4.0, 1 point @ 10/11.

I had this selection made before I even looked at the stats. Probably not best practice but the 49ers are just too strong, and the Cowboys will bottle it any minute. Any minute now… but credit where credit is due, Dak and the Boys put in a serious display last week to hammer the Bucs 31-14. I thought it would be Brady who put up a classic performance in the bright lights, but it was Dak. He threw for 305 yards and 4 TDs, in what Troy Aikman described as his best performance ever. Then again, it’s a lot easier to have a big performance against a week secondary and a struggling offence who gives you plenty of opportunity to be on the field. The same will not be happening this week, as the Boys face the best defence in the league and an arch nemesis who knocked them out of the playoffs last year. The Niners are near the top in most categories, on both sides of the ball, so I think with the home advantage and better coaching, they should get through this one with relative ease. Bang Bang Niner Gang.

 

 

 

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