NAP RECORD: 11-6.

OVERALL RECORD: 124-144-4.

TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS: +16.10 points.

CC RECORD: 1-1.

CC PROFIT/LOSS: -0.09.

Oh baby, what a Super Bowl we have in store. The two number one seeds travel to Phoenix, Arizona to battle it out for the Vince Lombardi Trophy and a date with immortality (alright, calm down Sky Sports). The atmosphere could not be more electric in the city, with the crazy Waste Management Open on at the same time. What I would give to be at both over the weekend.

Looking ahead to the game, we can break it down into some key elements.

Injuries:

It looks like both teams are coming in with all of their starting set up. Everyone is down to play, but the difference is that Kansas will be starting a number of players that are dealing with niggling injuries. Mahomes’ ankle is not 100% as he deals with a bit of a strain. Other suspect health statuses are Kadarius Toney who is managing both a hamstring and an ankle injury, Willie Gay who is managing a shoulder injury, and Juju and L’Jarius Sneed who are managing knee injuries. For the Eagles, Lane Johnson is currently putting off groin surgery until the game is over, but he completely shutdown Nick Bosa in the Conference Championship game, so no real worry there. Slight advantage to Philly in the injury department, but not enough to worry me if I’m a Chiefs fan.

QBs:

This should be a thrilling matchup, as Mahomes and Hurts were one and two in the MVP voting. Mahomes won it by a landslide, but for Hurts to be up there is a huge win for him and the Eagles organisation. He has been rock solid all year as both a passer and a rusher, but the Super Bowl presents a new challenge. The biggest stage in the world for the first time is sure to add a new level of pressure that Hurts hasn’t felt before. He led his team to an impressive 31-7 win over the Niners in the Conference Championship but didn’t have to do too much in the passing department as the Eagles ran all over San Fran. Hurts logged 121 yards passing with no TDs or INTs, to go along with 39 yards rushing and one TD. Mahomes on the other hand, played at an insane level against the stingy Bengals D. Patty M logged two TDs and 326 yards passing, as he made big throw after big throw. I love Hurts but I think Mahomes will come out on top in this dual. Positive edge to Kansas City.

General Outlook:

The Eagles have had the much easier run in here and the stats would back it up. They have only allowed 96 yards passing per game but have faced Daniel Jones and CMC… under centre. The Niners game fell apart when both Purdy and Josh Johnson both went off. The Eagles have been the best rushing team in the playoffs, but again had very little to stop them being so. The Niners have a good run D, but because they couldn’t keep hold of the ball going forward and the Eagles were trying to run out the clock, they just couldn’t do anything but let Philly run all over them. They won’t have it as easy here and Hurts will need to step up as a passer. For the Chiefs, getting over the Bengals was a huge deal. They had lost the last three to their AFC rival and I think that win is the key to their Super Bowl aspirations. Mahomes will need to be Mahomes, but he likely will. Two good wins over Jacksonville and Cincinnati has me leaning towards Kansas in the form battle, as they are proper battle hardened going into this one.

Verdict:

I have the Chiefs taking it by a field goal and Mahomes winning MVP. As good as the Eagles are as a team, Mahomes, Andy Reid and the Chiefs have been there before and done that. This should be a cracking game, but it’s the future Hall of Fame QB that is the deciding factor. See below for all bets and enjoy it.

• Win: Chiefs -1.5, 1 point @ 10/11.
• Over/Under: Over 25.5 second half points, 1 point @ 10/11.
• MVP: Mahomes, 1 point @ 5/4.
• Anytime TD scorers:
  • Kelce, 1 point @ 4/5.
  • Hurts, 1 point @  11/10.
• Additional:
  • Isiah Pacheco over 47.5 yards rushing, 1 point @ 47.5.
  • Correct score: 27-24 Chiefs, 0.25 points @ 100/1.