Alright Bulldog gang, the flagship Sunday issue is here as week seven’s main slate of games is upon us. A few decent games, but a lot of good teams playing some tragic outfits. I’m looking at you Houston.

The NAP has landed 4/5 weeks and the €5 to €500 is going strong(ish), giving a serious bit of hope each week. We’ve got a big revenge game in the desert this week for my NAP.

To spice things up on this lovely bank holiday weekend, and to try and close the gap in my record, I am going to pick a bet for all 12 games. This could be the worse decision ever or the start of something very special. Let’s hope it’s the latter.

Houston Texans @ Arizona Cardinals: Cardinals -16.5 (NAP)

Texans:

• The Texans are 1-5 and 0-3 away from home.
• The Texans have the 27th ranked offence and the 26th ranked defence.
• They have the 28th ranked passing offence and the 25th ranked rushing offence.
• On average, the Texans are scoring 15.3 points per game and conceding 28.7 points.
• Mills & Co. are throwing for 221.3 yards per game and rushing for 87.2 yards.
• The Texan’s defence is allowing 259.8 passing yards per game and 141.3 rushing yards.
• The Texans have lost 2 games by over 27 points (Colts by 27 and Bills by 40).

Cardinals:

• The Cardinals are 6-0 and 2-0 at home.
• The Cardinals have the 9th ranked offence and the 11th ranked defence.
• They have the 10th ranked passing offence and the 6th ranked rushing offence.
• On average, the Cardinals are scoring 32.3 points per game and conceding 18.2 points.
• Murray & Co. are throwing for 290.2 yards per game and rushing for 130.7 yards.
• The Cardinal’s defence is allowing 232.2 passing yards per game and 128.0 rushing yards.
• The Cardinals have beaten the Titans, Jaguars, Rams and Cleveland by at least 12 points. They beat the Titans by 25 and Rams by 17.

My poor Texans are going to get absolutely whooped this week – I feel really bad for head coach, David Cully. The first-time head coach got the position to be the fall guy, while the McNairs manage QB DeShaun Watson’s 22 civil suits and overall terribleness of the team. To make matters worse, JJ Watt and DeAndre Hopkins will be out for blood against their old team, meaning this could get very lopsided. You saw what happened when the Bills played the Texans, as Josh Allen had his way with them, putting up a 40 burger. I would expect Murray and the Cardinals high-powered offence to steamroll the Texans and cover the spread, up in the desert. HE’S ALREADY DEAD.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans: Chiefs Straight Win & Over 48.5

Chiefs:

• The Chiefs are 3-3 and 2-1 away from home.
• The Chiefs have the 3rd ranked offence and the 28th ranked defence.
• They have the 2nd ranked passing offence and the 9th ranked rushing offence.
• On average, the Chiefs are scoring 30.8 points per game and conceding 29.3 points.
• Mahomes & Co. are throwing for 314.5 yards per game and rushing for 125.0 yards.
• The Chief’s defence is allowing 287.5 passing yards per game and 133.2 rushing yards.
• The Chiefs three losses have come against divisional leaders (Bills, Chargers, Ravens).
• Despite the Chiefs worse than usual record, they have averaged more points and yards per game this season than in either of the previous two seasons through their first 6 games.
• Last week against Washington, Mahomes threw for 397 passing yards and two passing TDs.
• Top class offence: Mahomes is 3rd in the league in passing yards and 1st in passing TDs. Hill is tied for 1st in receptions and is 3^rd in receiving yards. Kelce is 1st in receiving yards, receptions, and targets, and 2nd in receiving TDs.

Titans:

• The Titans are 4-2 and 2-1 at home.
• The Titans have the 12th ranked offence and the 24th ranked defence.
• They have the 25th ranked passing offence and the 3rd ranked rushing offence.
• On average, the Titans are scoring 27.7 points per game and conceding 26.8 points.
• Tannehill & Co. are throwing for 245.5 yards per game and rushing for 164.0 yards.
• The Titan’s defence is allowing 291.5 passing yards per game and 107.7 rushing yards.
• The Titans had their win of the season last week against the Bills, winning 34-31.
• The Titans are without Taylor Lewan, Caleb Farley, Kristian Fulton and more.

If it wasn’t for the Titans injury woes in the secondary, I would probably go with the Titans +4.5 here, but they are in a bad way back there. Mahomes should have a huge game, once Hill is confirmed for the game. Hill hasn’t practiced all week, but head coach Andy Reid has hinted that he’ll be playing. Regardless, Mahomes should put up serious numbers, with his array of weapons and Andy Reid’s play calling. On the other side of the coin, the Titans had a huge win against the Bills on Monday night, winning 34-31. Derrick Henry is an absolute sicko and is on pace for 2,219 rush yards (would be NFL record) and 28 TDs this season. The Chiefs have been poor against the run as well, so Henry will likely eat. Points will be scored here, and I think the Chiefs will scrape out a victory in Tennessee.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Las Vegas Raiders: Raiders -2.5

Eagles:

• The Eagles are 2-4 and 2-1 away from home.
• The Eagles have the 18th ranked offence and the 13th ranked defence.
• They have the 22nd ranked passing offence and the 13th ranked rushing offence.
• On average, the Eagles are scoring 22.8 points per game and conceding 25.3 points.
• Hurts & Co. are throwing for 246.7 yards per game and rushing for 113.7 yards.
• The Eagles defence is allowing 223.8 passing yards per game and 135.3 rushing yards.
• The Eagles two wins have come against the Panthers and Falcons.
• Hurts started the season well but has struggled the last two games – he threw for 115 yards and 1 TD with one INT against the Bucs. Against the Panthers, he had 198 yards with no TDs and one INT.

Raiders:

• The Raiders are 4-2 and 2-1 at home.
• The Raiders have the 11th ranked offence and the 15th ranked defence.
• They have the 3rd ranked passing offence and the 29th ranked rushing offence.
• On average, the Raiders are scoring 24.5 points per game and conceding 24.0 points.
• Carr & Co. are throwing for 324.3 yards per game and rushing for 79.8 yards.
• The Raiders defence is allowing 236.7 passing yards per game and 130.7 rushing yards.
• The Raiders two losses have come against the Bears and Chargers.
• Fun fact: Since the start of last season, interim head coaches are 4-0 in their first game. The previous 3 interim coaches all lost their second game.

Both of these teams have broken my heart at some point of the season, but I’m feeling very optimistic about today’s match-up. The Eagles offence is stuck in first gear, with Jalen Hurts accounting for 85% of all yardage. That may sound impressive for the man himself, but the lack of diversity in the offence is not sustainable. The Eagles have been decent defensively but were cut open from high-powered offences like the Chiefs and Cowboys, and the Raiders are exactly that. Las Vegas leads the league in completions over 20 yards, with 32. All of Henry Ruggs’ receiving TDs have been over 40 yards and Derek Carr is on pace to break the single season, passing yards record (on pace for 5514). Josh Jacobs is also getting healthier, so I would expect him to attack a poor Eagles run defence. I think the House wins here in Sin City.

Atlanta Falcons @ Miami Dolphins: Falcons Straight Bet

Falcons:

• The Falcons are 2-3 and 1-1 away from home.
• The Falcons have the 21st ranked offence and the 14th ranked defence.
• On average, the Falcons are scoring 21.0 points per game and conceding 29.6 points.
• Ryan & Co. are throwing for 266.4 yards per game and rushing for 91.0 yards.
• The Falcons defence is allowing 257.6 passing yards per game and 108.2 rushing yards.
• The Falcons two wins have come against the Jets and Giants.
• The Falcons were on a bye last week after their victory in London against the Jets.
• In London, Matt Ryan tossed the pigskin for 33-45 for a season-high 342 yards and two TDs. Kyle Pitts also got on the score board for his first TD.
• Atlanta is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 road games versus a team with a losing home record.

Dolphins:

• The Dolphins are 1-5 and 0-2 at home.
• The Dolphins have the 28th ranked offence and the 30th ranked defence.
• They have the 26th ranked passing offence and the 31st ranked rushing offence.
• On average, the Dolphins are scoring 16.5 points per game and conceding 29.5 points.
• Tua & Co. are throwing for 237.8 yards per game and rushing for 71.5 yards.
• The Dolphins defence is allowing 307.5 passing yards per game and 125.3 rushing yards.
• The Dolphins one win came against the Patriots in week one.
• The Dolphins were in London last week against the Jags.
• The Dolphins have only scored more than 20 points in one game this season (week three against the Raiders).
• Against the Jags, Mike Gesicki finished with eight receptions for 115 yards.
• Jaylen Waddle’s best games have come when Tua Tagovailoa has played the full four quarters (week one against the Patriot and week six against the Jags)

Oh boy, how bad are the Dolphins this year. Their loss to the Jags helped Jacksonville snap a 20-game losing streak, last week in London. To make matters worse, after their nine-hour flight back to Miami, they were back to work straight away on the Monday to plan for a rested Falcons team. Coming off their bye week, the Falcons should be well prepared and well rested to take on their fellow east coast team. The Falcons also have Calvin Ridley back from a personal absence, which is a massive plus. The Falcons are a pass first team, so having him back to take on the Dolphins secondary is huge for Arthur Smith’s offence. Dolphins star CBs, Byron Jones and Xavien Howard as listed as questionable – if they are out, this bet is a slam dunk. If they play, I would be slighted concerned. Kyle Pitts is also starting to get into his groove, catching his first touchdown against the Jets in London. These are two poor teams, so I’m going to give the edge to the heathier, more well rested team.

All Sunday Picks:

• Atlanta Falcons @ Miami Dolphins: Falcons Straight Bet
• Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants: Panthers -2.5
• Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens: Ravens – 6.5
• Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans: Chiefs Win & Over 48.5
• New York Jets @ New England Patriots: Patriots – 6.5
• WFT @ Green Bay Packers: Packers – 8.5
• Detroit Lions @ LA Rams: Under 51.5
• Philadelphia Eagles @ Las Vegas Raiders: Raiders -2.5
• Chicago Bears @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Bucs – 12.5
• Houston Texans @ Arizona Cardinals: Cardinals -16.5 (NAP)
• Indianapolis Colts @ San Francisco 49ers: Over 42.5
• New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks: Saints -4.5.

J.